Numerical weather models are being relied on more and more to develop fire weather forecasts and predict fire behavior and fire danger. Their accuracy in these applications, however, has heretofore been unknown. The purpose of this project was to study model predictions during the 2000 fire season to identify the effectiveness of mesoscale weather models in predicting fire danger and related fire weather and to integrate the National Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS) with a fine scale numerical weather prediction model (MM5).
