Daily Fire Information and Smoke Predictions

BlueSky also enables a number of daily model runs at various institutions for both official operational and more experimental purposes.  The list below categories these and provides links to access these model results on the web.  Running a BlueSky enabled modeling system?  Let us know and we'll add your link.

Have a management use in mind?

See the Management Tools page.

Available tools by region & fire type

Various BlueSky enabled tools are available based on region and the types of fire information automatically injested (e.g. from satellite detects or SMARTFIRE's reconciled satellite and ground based information).  Addtionally some tools allow for the addition of manual information in certain situations (e.g. large incidents or prescribed burns), while others are more real-time and allow users to interactively enter fire information and receive results back while they wait.  Each of the systems is further described below, accessible by clicking on their name.

*   Manual = can be manually added by the smoke product creators.  User = can be manually added by a client user.  User (interactive) means that the results are returned to the user in real-time.
^   Prescribed fires may be detected by satellites and included.  No specific prescribed fire reporting system data is utilized.
**  included in the combined Google Earth layers

Notes:

Wildfire

• All of the tools listed model wildfire information in some form.  Some use satellite-only or ICS-209-only reports and some use SMARTFIRE which reconciles the two. Some allow for the creating institution to add fires manually, and others allow the user to interactively enter fire information.

Prescribed Fire

• Some of the tools also automatically or manually ingest planned prescribed fire information.  Tools that utilize satellite detects will incorporate some prescribed fire activity as detected by the satellites (indicated with a carat (^)).

Agricultural and Rangeland burns

• Work is underway to include agricultural and rangeland burns, but the tools listed here currently do not address these fires except in the Pacific Northwest.  However the STI Gateway trajectory tool can be used for all types of fire.

Combined Google Earth layers

• **'d tools are Included in a set of combined Google Earth layers.

Fire Information

SMARTFIRE Reconciled Fire Information

Included in collected Google Earth layers

SMARTFIRE, developed in conjunction with the BlueSky Framework, reconciles ground and satellite fire information in a single data stream that avoids duplication.  SMARTFIRE currently utilizes the ICS-209 ground reports and the HMS satellite fire detects as inputs, but considerable development work is ongoing.  SMARTFIRE fire information is available for the CONUS.

• SMARTFIRE Viewer (CONUS)
  http://getBlueSky.org/smartfire

Smoke Trajectories

STI Gateway On-the-fly Trajectories

On-the-fly trajectories are also enabled within the SMARTFIRE viewer. 

Weather Input:  STI MM5 weather model
Trajectory Model:  HYSPLIT

• STI Gateway On-the-fly Trajectories/SMARTFIRE Viewer (CONUS)
  http://getBlueSky.org/smartfire
  

Official, Operational Smoke Forecasts

In the U.S., the only official operational forecast is the National Weather Service's smoke and air quality forecast products.  Currently these products use an older version of BlueSky to enable their emissions calculations, but work is underway to test BlueSky v3.1.

National Weather Service

Weather Input:  NWS NAM weather model
Fire Input:  Satellite fire detects (HMS) [generally wildfire-only]
Outputs:  36-hr forecasts of PM2.5

• CONUS Operational Forecasts
  http://weather.gov/aq

• Alaska Experimental Forecasts
  http://www.nws.noaa.gov/aq-expr/
  

Experimental Smoke Model Predictions

A number of experimental systems also utilize BlueSky.  These systems have not undergone the same testing process as the National Weather Service run, but may contain different input data or methodologies of interest to some user groups.

Combined Google Earth Layers

Includes output from SMARTFIRE, STI Gateway, FCAMMS National, FCAMMS PNW, FCAMMS/CANSAC Southwest

• Combined Google Earth Layers
  http://blueskyframework.org/ge
  

STI Gateway

Weather Input:  STI MM5 weather model
Fire Input:  SMARTFIRE ground (ICS) + satellite (HMS) [mostly wildfire]
Outputs:   36-hour forecasts of PM2.5, PM10, Ozone

• CONUS Air Quality Model (CMAQ) Predictions
  http://getBlueSky.org/bluesky/sti
  

FCAMMS National

Weather Input:  NWS weather models (NAM, GFS)
Fire Input:  SMARTFIRE ground (ICS) and satellite (HMS) + manual entry  [mostly wildfire + selected prescribed and incidents]
Outputs:   72-hour and 7-day forecasts of PM2.5 (+ Fire weather indices)

• 12-km CONUS Smoke Model Predictions (3-day)
  http://www.cefa.dri.edu/FCAMMS
  

• 0.5-deg CONUS Smoke Model Predictions (7-day)
  http://www.cefa.dri.edu/FCAMMS 
  

FCAMMS/CANSAC Southwest

Weather Input:  CANSAC consortium MM5 weather model
Fire Input:  SMARTFIRE ground (ICS) and satellite (HMS) + manual input (selected incidents, prescribed burns)
Outputs:   72-hour forecasts of PM2.5 (+ Fire weather indices)

• 4-km Southwest Smoke Model Predictions
  http://www.cefa.dri.edu/COFF/cansac_output.php

FCAMMS PNW

Weather Input:  NWRMC consortium WRF weather model
Fire Input:  SMARTFIRE ground (ICS) and satellite (HMS) + NW prescribed fire systems (RAZU, ODF, WA DNR)
Outputs:   72-hour forecasts of PM2.5 (+ Fire weather indices)

• 4-km PNW Smoke Model Predictions
  http://airfire.org/tools/daily-smoke-and-air-quality

BlueSky Playground Interactive Game-Playing Application

We also offer a web-based "game-playing" or "scenario-building" application which allows the user to enter fire information, step through the BlueSky modeling pathway of their choice, and, in seconds, receive back fire and smoke information.

Fire Input:  1 fire only, user specified, additional information (fuel loadings, etc...) can be utilized
Weather Input:  STI MM5 weather model

• BlueSky Interactive Fire Scenario (IFS) Application
  BETA TEST VERSION - STILL IN PROGRESS
  http://staging.sonomatech.com/blueskygame/